Life and Death Matters

I'm good at trivia, listen to progressive rock, drink Gin & Tonics, and read philosophy when nature calls. Curiously enough, I'm also single.

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Ebeneezer, Conspiracy Theories, and Misunderstanding Occam's Razor

Ebeneezer, a very good friend of mine, is probably one of the more interesting people I know. He is, first of all, bright and clever -always a welcome combination (or not). Moreover, he is a man of extreme talent, ever ready to learn something new, whether in music, technology, or cooking fish. He has also studied political science, history, and psychology whilst in college and when completing his masters, but for some reason hates discussing any of these topics. Be it some dinner conversation on Brazil's future or some musing (at, say, a bar) on the political economy, Ebeneezer, for whatever reason, dislikes (or so he tells us) discussing these or similar matters.

He also gets extremely annoyed when someone does indeed start discussing history, political science, or psychology and says that a certain event has taken place for something other than the simplest of reasons. (This would be Neezer's insistence on Occam's Razor, though he's getting the definition wrong, as most people do, confusing topicality with simplicity). Like when I insist that the latest war in Iraq began for reasons other than messianism (i.e., bringing Jesus and free markets to those heathen Muslim protectionists for the sake of all civilization). According to him, these are conspiracy theories and therefor ridiculous.

Like many, many others, my friend of old assumes that there are no conspiracies, that people do not get together and conspire to do a, b, or c. Funny and tragic at the same time: being from Brazil, he should understand that not only do many conspiracy theories exist, but some of them are no longer theories, such as Globo Television attempting to defraud the 1982 Rio de Janeiro elections for Governor. To Ebeneezer, this would be absurd: never would Globo's owner, Roberto Marinho, do such a thing! Never would he have such power! Then again, there's that BBC documentary from 1993, Beyond Citizen Kane, which Globo had courts prohibit from circulating in Brazil, and the very helpful book on Globo by V.C Brittos and C.R.S. Bolaño, which detail (beyond doubt, in my opinion) just how powerful Marinho was and Globo continues to be. Ebeneezer would do well to check out these sources, but something tells me he won't.

As Noam Chomsky once observed (actually, he did so many times, since he is incredibly repetitive), a lot of folks, usually from sectors of the establishment, like to dismiss any notion that several individuals might conspire against the public good as, again, conspiracy theories. They do so with disgust, a frown or menacing look on their faces. So when we suggest Florida's Secretary of State, Kathleen Harris, helped steal the 2000 election for George W. Bush, it's a conspiracy theory. When it is pointed out that wars are started to increase corporate profits, (amongst other reasons, obviously) we're lunatics, the kind of people that think no one ever landed on the moon. When it is suggested that the American Media purposefully presents the Israel-Palestine conflict in a very biased fashion, with an obvious favoritism towards the Jewish State, we're crazy, prone to hateful "anti-semitic" propaganda (the quotes are due to the fact that anti-semitic is used in a mistaken fashion in the US and much of the world, implying that only Jews are Semites). And, of course, the latest episode recently seen in the news showing a willingness by some of its major participants to conspire against the public good is the latest financial crisis, with Henry Paulson and Ben Bernanke continuously cheating the American public out of hundreds of billions, soon to be trillions of dollars to help out banks, financial institutions, and other major corporations that, since the eighties (at least), have been making one outrageous mistake after another, creating a shitball of ill-conceived choices that has ultimately led us to the present state of things -that, my friends, is just hippie Marxist ranting.

I'm sure Neezer would simply read a post like this and piss all over it, since it is presumably full of crap: to my good friend, Iraq was but a series of debacles born of dumbfounding incompetence, oil was never a real issue; Globo and its (thankfully) now-defunct owner Marinho aren't/weren't as powerful or mean-spirited as they are/were made out to be; the 2000 US Presidential election was never stolen, it was simply organization incompetence at work; wars are started with a dynamic all their own (very true), but never due to private interests (laughable); Israel just chanced into unbridled, unquestioning support from the American government and population; and Paulson and Bernanke would never act out of naked self-interest or to shamelessly help out their rich finance mates. In Ebeneezer's magical world, when something doesn't happen in a vacuum, we can always understand events as people fucking up or getting really lucky; otherwise, the explanation's faulty. There are no class interests, folks don't conspire, people don't scheme.

Again, it would be funny were it not tragic; it's like a brilliant mind going to waste. Ultimately, I understand complaints that the lament I just uttered in this post is without importance, for indeed it is; actually, this post is here just so I can tell Ebeneezer, should he ever again make fun of my "tendency to believe in conspiracy theories", that he can go fuck himself, with evidence provided. But all kidding aside, I do hope that this post might help my ever-talented, ever-skeptical good friend and bandmate to see the world is actually more complicated than his misreading of Occam's Razor would have him believe.

Obs. 1: Neezer, in case you're wondering: yes, I love you, and for trashing you I owe you a nice single malt and a blowjob, though I guess you'll only want the former.

Obs. 2: The video concerning the American Media's bias towards Israel is quite revealing but I can't embed it; I strongly urge the reader to see it, though, it brings to light issues with which many are not familiar.

8 comments:

  1. You know, you are both right. It takes more than one person to start a war. Some were in it for the money and power, under the guise of national security. Others were for it due to what you call messianism (they are the Christianists). You can't oversimplify one way or the other; Bush culled support from disparate groups, playing to their individual goals. Bush appeased the Christianists, Cheney played to the neocons.

    YOU BOTH GET A's

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  2. Just saw this and thought of your post, how auspicious:

    The Theocon State:

    http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/11/the-theocon-sta.html

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  3. As Keanu would say, "Whoa!"

    Freakin' awesome, Marcos, thank you.

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  4. Oh Rafa, c'mon--Barack just got elected. Everything's gonna be all right now...

    But seriously, I think as always you two tend to take extreme positions. É uma questão de assumptions--in the presence of incomplete information, you fill in the rest with your pre-existing inclinations. Then again, Lucas might just be fucking with you and agree with 100% of what you say.

    Mas convenhamos que a alternativa não é muito agradável. You know how I usually deal with this kind of stuff--"quote your sources", o que significa que quando eu entro nessa eu viro um pentelho num boteco (usually takes a couple of seletas to get rid of that--works like a charm).

    Eu acho que eu já editei demais a Wikipedia pra poder acreditar em thinly-evidenced arguments. Lo and behold the Beyond Citizen Kane article that you mentioned is one of the articles I most edited in 2007. Now it's full of crap facts with no sources (Not that it wasn't like that when I edited it =).

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  5. Thank, Pots, for the pointer; the source has been changed to what appears to be a more reliable one. I also put a BBC article on Marinho upon his death, which mentions the documentary and a suspended screening. Cheers.

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  6. First of all, I applaud your talented writing skills. They're certainly inspiring and motivate the quest for development in my own approach of the referred craft.

    Occam's razor is a curious concept, but I find that occurrences like the TAM (airline) accident in Congonhas airport last year exemplifies a counter-argument.

    Maybe I've misunderstood the definition of such reference, but many serious facts result from combined reasons.

    The only conspiracy worth as a concern is corruption (Not so much a conspiracy, more like accepted reality or such..).
    Anything else is a problem as soon as corruption becomes a minority's prerogative.

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  7. I like pie. Pecan, in particular.

    ReplyDelete

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